I’m going to get better at this blogging stuff, so stick with me.
Today is the start of football season for the California Golden Bears, Northern California’s college football team. As some of you may know, Cal is sort of important to me in my life… Our good friends at California Golden Blogs were kind enough to interview me about it a couple of years ago. You can find that interview here.
Cal is playing Northwestern today. I’ve held through the summer that Northwestern may be the most overrated team in the country. The Wildcats are coming off their best season in years. A 10-3 record which included their first bowl win since 1949 when they coincidentally beat Cal. They are returning 14 starters. They are getting lots of media attention, which based on their record and the excitement from that bowl win over an SEC team no less has led to them being a favorite over Cal for tonight’s game in Memorial Stadium.
Beware of obvious bets. Because what people do is look at the superficial, they rarely go a layer or two below. True Northwestern was 10-3 last year. But they played the 138th toughest schedule in the country. Almost no one had an easier schedule than they did. Their wins by and large came against bad to mediocre teams. When they faced good teams, they lost.
And in their bowl game people say they beat an SEC team. Except that SEC team – Mississippi State – played the 80th toughest schedule in the country. And ended up losing 5 of their last 6 games, when they finally played quality opponents. In fact take out Troy, Jackson State, South Alabama and Tennessee State (they can sure schedule OOC in the SEC) they weren’t even a .500 team.
So what does that tell you. Well not a lot. Which is sort of the point. Don’t be fooled by experts. Cal could certainly still lose today – I don’t think they will – but it won’t be because of what Northwestern did last year. What do you think. Take a second to vote in the poll below.